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-Ben

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-Jen

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- Samantha

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I Saw a 5x Return -- That's Real

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Photorealistic image of a beautifully set restaurant table with elegant place settings, wine glasses, white tablecloth, soft candlelight, and a small "Reserved" card sign prominently displayed. The table is completely empty with chairs pulled out slightly. Background shows a busy restaurant with other diners in soft focus. Warm ambient lighting. Shot from eye level. Melancholic mood of wasted opportunity. High-end restaurant aesthetic.

Reservations. No-Shows. Cash.

October 20, 20252 min read

No-Show Nancy runs a beautiful craft cocktail bar. Limited seating. High-end experience. Reservations required on weekends.

And every Friday and Saturday, she has 4-6 no-shows.

People book a table, then just... don't come. Don't call. Don't text. Ghost.

She tried calling to confirm reservations, but she doesn't have time to call 40 people every Thursday. She tried taking credit cards for deposits, but it feels aggressive and customers push back.

So she just accepts that 15-20% of her weekend reservations will be empty tables.

At an average of $200 per table, she's losing $3,200-4,800 per month. That's $38,000-58,000 annually in revenue sitting empty because people forgot or changed plans.

YOUR ONE STRATEGY LAB THING TODAY: 'Confirmation Is Currency'

Most operators think the only solutions are:

A) Call everyone manually (impossible)

B) Take credit card deposits (feels aggressive)

C) Just accept it as "cost of doing business"

There's a fourth option: Automated confirmation systems.

HERE'S HOW IT WORKS:

48 HOURS BEFORE: Automated text: "Hey! Excited to see you Friday at 7pm. Reply YES to confirm or CANCEL to release your table."

24 HOURS BEFORE (if no response): "Just checking in - still planning to join us tomorrow at 7pm? Reply YES or NO."

Still no response? You can release that table or call them directly.

If they cancel via text? System immediately alerts you and can auto-offer the table to your waitlist.

THE MATH:

40 reservations this Saturday

Without confirmations: 8 no-shows (20% rate) = $1,600 lost

With automated confirmations: 2 no-shows (5% rate) = $400 lost

That's $1,200 recovered in ONE NIGHT. Multiply by 8 weekend nights = $9,600/month recovered revenue.

Zero additional labor. System runs automatically.

BONUS: Customers actually appreciate the reminder. You've saved them from accidentally missing their own reservation.

YOUR ACTION STEP: Calculate your no-show rate this month. Multiply it by your average table revenue. That's the minimum you're losing.

Want to set this up? We've got the exact workflow templates inside Strategy Lab. Copy, paste, customize, and you're live in 20 minutes. → lab.jlittrell.com

We got this,

Jason | The Strategy Lab

P.S. Every no-show is a regular customer you couldn't seat. You're not just losing the reservation - you're losing the loyalty of people on your waitlist who got turned away.

P.P.S. Reservation automation is one of the fastest ROI wins we cover in the Strategy Lab Podcast. Check out this week's episode.

#strategylab #wegotthis

restaurant no-showsreservation confirmationsrestaurant reservationsautomated reminderstable managementreservation system
blog author image

Jason Littrell

Jason Littrell is a world-class hospitality consultant, award-winning bartender, and founder of Hospitality Strategy Lab. With years of experience working at renowned venues like Death & Co in Manhattan and advising top-tier hospitality brands, Jason has a deep understanding of what it takes to create unforgettable guest experiences and profitable bar programs. As a pioneer in the use of AI, automation, and behavioral psychology in hospitality, he’s passionate about making advanced tactics accessible to operators who want to stay ahead in this fast-paced industry. Through his podcast, Jason interviews industry leaders, tech innovators, and behavioral science experts, providing actionable insights and strategies to help you elevate your hospitality game. Whether you’re a bar owner, restaurant manager, or hospitality operator, Jason’s engaging approach and wealth of knowledge make Hospitality Strategy Lab your go-to resource for mastering the art and science of exceptional service.

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Who is Jason Littrell?

Jason Littrell is a seasoned cocktail maker, bar consultant, event producer, speaker, author, and brand marketing expert with over a decade of experience in the hospitality industry.

What services does Jason Littrell offer?

Jason offers a range of services including bar consultancy, cocktail menu development, staff training, event production and management, keynote speaking, educational workshops, and brand marketing strategies in NYC, 100% free of charge. For more details, please use the chat widget or contact form.

Can Jason Littrell help in designing and setting up a new bar?

Absolutely. Jason specializes in bar consultancy, including design, menu creation, staff training, and operational efficiency, tailored to the unique needs of each client.

As a speaker, what topics does Jason typically cover?

Jason speaks on a range of topics including cocktail culture and history, bar and hospitality industry trends, brand building, and customer engagement strategies.

Has Jason Littrell authored any books or articles?

Yes, Jason is the author of Bartender as a Business, and contributed to several publications in the field of cocktails and hospitality.

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How does Jason approach brand marketing in the hospitality sector?

Jason combines his deep industry knowledge with innovative marketing techniques to create compelling brand narratives and engagement strategies that resonate with target audiences.

What is Kinetic Management Systems?

KMS is the business Jason owns that implements hospitality management systems for sales, marketing HR, and operations. This site is built with KMS, and if you call any of the phone numbers, fill out any of the forms, engage with the chat, you're engaging with KMS systems. For more info, check out kmsops.com

What makes Jason’s approach to cocktail making and bar consultancy unique?

Jason's approach is rooted in a deep understanding of both the art and science of cocktail making, combined with a keen insight into current trends and customer preferences, making his consultancy highly effective and personalized.

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